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PATTERNS IN THE LOTTERY GAME

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Forum Scientiae Oeconomia Volume 4 (2016) No. 1 68 case of one team of participating students we shall simplify the game: we will not use the ticket, but will simply ask them to choose six numbers from 1 to 49 and shall note these down. Of course, we must also study all the other tickets, primarily those of the “loser” participants’ (those who received the highest overall score). In the case of the “losing” combination we must determine whether there is any sign of conscious choice and/or whether we can identify any geometrical patterns on these, as well. Conclusions Lottery – as one of the oldest and most popular game of chance throughout the world – serves as an excellent instrument in studying random and con- scious strategies of choice. We know that the winning lottery numbers cannot be predicted, at the same time there are – not so successful – “sure” theories on the marking of the winning numbers. In our study, we merged the character- istics of the traditional lottery game with the elements of strategic games and using a modified lottery game – the “hidden lottery” we studied and analyzed the strategies of choice applied by the players with a special emphasis on the winning combinations. Students participating in the game had to mark 6 numbers from 1 to 49 on a 7x7 lottery ticket. The winner was the student whose chosen numbers were the least in accord with those chosen by other players. In contrast to the traditional lottery, players of the “hidden lottery” must hit not randomly chosen numbers, but rather, they have to play against other, consciously thinking and intelligent players. Analyzing the results of Hungarian and foreign students we found an inter- esting phenomenon. In contrast with our expectations that students are best off with a random choice of numbers, in the case of the majority of the winning tickets we found the use of conscious strategic choice to be more useful. These conscious strategic decisions were reflected in identifiable geometric forms. Based on the results, we hypothesize that in the “hidden lottery” game – in contrast with random choice – the most effective strategy of choice is the con- scious ordered one in which the player marks the numbers on the lottery ticket in some modified geometric pattern. The number of studies performed and the number of samples at this stage is still too low to enable us to prove our hypotheses without doubt. We shall ex- tend the study, increase the sample number, expand the applied research meth- ods to test our hypotheses and answer further research questions. References Ayton, P. and Reimers, S. (2015), How to be a loser when you win: Lucky num- bers, lucky stores, edge aversion, proximity aversion and lottery choices, SPUDM25 Conference presentation.

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